New season lambs are now fronting up in the south and are starting to dominate the yards. They were met with a more confident market this week with restocker lambs the hot commodity and driving a price bounce in all indicators.
For the week ending the 21st of August, east coast lamb slaughter was back 2% on the week prior thanks to 5k fewer processed in Victoria. 292,582 lambs were killed, which is 6% under the seasonal 5-year average. Some of the space was filled up with a 5% lift in sheep slaughter, driven by NSW, VIC and SA.
Saleyards were busy right across the east coast. Lamb yardings lifted 27% to see throughput of 150,150 on the east coast. Victoria saw a 92% increase in yardings week on week with 30,472 lambs yarded. New season lambs are popping up in greater numbers and slightly earlier than normal, with last week’s lamb throughput higher than the 5-year seasonal average for this time of year. The lift in sheep yarding’s was even more significant, up 60% from the levels of the week prior.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator (ESTLI) received a welcome boost of 29¢ on the week. It wasn’t enough to make up for last week’s losses though, with the ESTLI sitting at 669¢/kg cwt on Thursday. Over in the west, the market continued to fall. Trade lambs lost 61¢ on the week with the indicator now at 618¢/kg cwt and about 50¢ cheaper than the eastern counterpart.
Restocked lambs were driving the market in the east, after some good rain over the weekend in the south. The east coast Restocker Lamb Indicator gained a whopping 140¢ to 860¢/kg, making it the only eastern indicator that is higher than it was at the same time last year. The divide between restockers and trade lambs is now at just under 200¢.
Heavy lambs also found some momentum this week with more activity noted by both export and domestic meat buyers. The eastern Heavy Lamb Indicator lifted 31¢ to 631¢/kg.
The rebound in mutton prices was a noteworthy 25¢ rise week on week to see the National Mutton Indicator at 549¢/kg. In Victoria and WA, mutton is still more expensive than the same time last year.
Next week:
Saleyards noted that reduced supply was the driver of this week’s modest price bounce. Spring is upon us though, and we all know what that brings. The early falls to date may provide some buffer against the usual price decline, however, the continued strengthening of the AUD doesn’t help our export markets.
Contracting supply and rain were key ingredients in a much stronger lamb and sheep market this week. Seasonal conditions have conspired with robust processing demand
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its quarterly livestock slaughter and meat production figures for September last week. The numbers explain a lot about
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.
Bouncing towards spring
For the week ending the 21st of August, east coast lamb slaughter was back 2% on the week prior thanks to 5k fewer processed in Victoria. 292,582 lambs were killed, which is 6% under the seasonal 5-year average. Some of the space was filled up with a 5% lift in sheep slaughter, driven by NSW, VIC and SA.
Saleyards were busy right across the east coast. Lamb yardings lifted 27% to see throughput of 150,150 on the east coast. Victoria saw a 92% increase in yardings week on week with 30,472 lambs yarded. New season lambs are popping up in greater numbers and slightly earlier than normal, with last week’s lamb throughput higher than the 5-year seasonal average for this time of year. The lift in sheep yarding’s was even more significant, up 60% from the levels of the week prior.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator (ESTLI) received a welcome boost of 29¢ on the week. It wasn’t enough to make up for last week’s losses though, with the ESTLI sitting at 669¢/kg cwt on Thursday. Over in the west, the market continued to fall. Trade lambs lost 61¢ on the week with the indicator now at 618¢/kg cwt and about 50¢ cheaper than the eastern counterpart.
Restocked lambs were driving the market in the east, after some good rain over the weekend in the south. The east coast Restocker Lamb Indicator gained a whopping 140¢ to 860¢/kg, making it the only eastern indicator that is higher than it was at the same time last year. The divide between restockers and trade lambs is now at just under 200¢.
Heavy lambs also found some momentum this week with more activity noted by both export and domestic meat buyers. The eastern Heavy Lamb Indicator lifted 31¢ to 631¢/kg.
The rebound in mutton prices was a noteworthy 25¢ rise week on week to see the National Mutton Indicator at 549¢/kg. In Victoria and WA, mutton is still more expensive than the same time last year.
Next week:
Saleyards noted that reduced supply was the driver of this week’s modest price bounce. Spring is upon us though, and we all know what that brings. The early falls to date may provide some buffer against the usual price decline, however, the continued strengthening of the AUD doesn’t help our export markets.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on table to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: MLA, | Mecardo
Categories
Have any questions or comments?
Defying seasonality
Contracting supply and rain were key ingredients in a much stronger lamb and sheep market this week. Seasonal conditions have conspired with robust processing demand
Lamb forecast fits with future figures
Despite record-high slaughter figures for lamb so far this year, there are plenty of lambs left in the paddock according to the latest Sheep Producers
Here comes the rain again
Spring is coming to an end, but the consequences of the dry southern winter continue to drive the market. The search for weight is creating
Early indications of weaker lamb supply for 2025
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its quarterly livestock slaughter and meat production figures for September last week. The numbers explain a lot about
Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?
Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock
In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.