Cattle yardings fell by about 6000 head
this week, with latest slaughter figures (last week’s) also on the decline,
down just shy of 2000 head from the previous report. Slaughter still remains
well above year-ago levels, 8.5% above to be exact, and female slaughter
currently sits within 1% of male throughput.
Given this, it comes as no surprise
National Livestock Reporting Service saw strong demand for processor cows this
week – as long as they were at the right weight, and that the national
indicator rose by 14¢/kg to 328¢/kg. Roma store sale, Queensland, had the
biggest number of eligible cows (18% of the indicator) and averaged higher at
331¢/kg, while Dalby, Qld, had 15% of throughput and averaged 337¢/kg.
Restocker and feeder heifers both climbed
more than 17¢/kg from the previous week, to land at 366¢/kg and 377¢/kg
respectively. The top five yardings for restocker heifers were north of
Tamworth (inclusive), giving a good indication that the supply has dried up in
the south until the spring growth. When it comes to feeder heifers, NSW yards
were achieving a significant premium over Queensland, averaging 406¢/kg
compared to 335¢/kg.
Argus Meat & Livestock are reporting
feeder cattle supply as limited across the board, despite some feeders tapping
into backgrounders and company numbers and taking into account the timing of
the Christmas processor shutdown. Rising processor contracts for finished
cattle and softening feed wheat prices are likely boosting confidence in this
sector.
The Eastern Young Cattle Indicator climbed
24¢/kg for the week, up nearly 60¢/kg in the past four weeks, and sitting at
722¢/kg carcase weight, or $1420/head. The Online Young Cattle Indicator rose
about 10¢/kg for the week to 421¢/kg live weight, with more than a quarter of
the eligible stock coming from the desert channels.
Cattle prices on the rise as market waits for spring supply
Next week
All factors staying equal, the market should continue on its current trajectory in the coming weeks, especially if forecast widespread rainfall eventuates over the weekend and constricts supply even further. Renewed soil moisture in many areas and attractive forward contracts despite slaughter trending 9% above 2024 for the year-to-date are setting the market up with plenty of positivity in the spring, with rainfall and supply left to come out of the system to dictate how high it will push.
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Click on graph to expand
Data sources: Argus, Mecardo; Meat and Livestock Australia
Categories
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