Angus Cattle

The Australian cattle markets were upbeat this week with Heavy Steer prices surging ahead 9% to reach new records, and Medium Cow prices have kept rising, while the Eastern states Young Cattle Indicator (EYCI) pushed back over the 1,000¢ mark again.

Yardings and slaughter numbers both grew by similar proportions last week, both putting on 2% from the prior week. However, considering the numbers more carefully, with slaughter growing by 2,299 head and yardings by only 781 head, the supply/demand balance probably actually tightened somewhat, at least in relation to cattle being offered through traditional saleyards. Remember that on average, in excess of 85% of Australian cattle slaughtered are procured by processors via the direct over the hooks (OTH) channel.  

When we break down where the changes emanated from, the increase in yardings was led by a 19% increase in NSW and 9% lift in VIC, but offset by a 10% fallback in QLD numbers.

Slaughter numbers lifted in all states apart from Tassie, with the big states of NSW and QLD the main source of momentum.

The EYCI lifted 22¢(2%) to get back over the 1,000¢ mark this week, reaching 1,019¢/kg cwt. The uplift was probably related to tighter supply of young cattle, as EYCI eligible yardings at 10,918 head were down 6% on the already tight prior week. Roma Store prices have recovered 5% to 988¢/kg cwt,  assisted by a 24% reduction in yardings from last week’s big offering. Dalby prices also lifted 3% to 1015¢/kg cwt despite a 20% increase in yardings.

There was green ink in all the places that mattered on the National Indicators, with the slide in Heavy Steer prices seen over the last few weeks turning around in an extraordinary manner, putting on 37¢ lwt (9%) this week to reach a new record high of 452¢/kg lwt, with Medium Steer prices lifting 23¢(5%) to 444¢/kg lwt.

90CL frozen cow prices slipped back 18¢(2%) last week on the back of both the appreciation of the AUD last week, and slightly weaker prices in US dollar terms. Steiner surmises that buyers are resting on their laurels post labour day holiday demand, and a dip this time of the year is nothing unusual.

The good news is that we can expect some of that exchange rate based devaluation to be recovered this week, because the Aussie dollar was devalued over 1% against the US greenback this week, which should flow through to support next week’s 90CL benchmark quote.

The week ahead….

The week ahead is looking considerably drier, especially in comparison to the solid drenching received in NSW/VIC last week. With prices so upbeat, especially in heavy cattle, sellers may be tempted out of the paddock to take advantage, so some mild consolidation is on the cards, especially since the excitement over Brazilian mad cow scare is looking less likely to have major ramifications for the market in the medium term.

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!
Print This Post

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Data sources: MLA, Mecardo, BOM

Make decisions with confidence- ask about our board packs, bespoke forecasting and risk management services

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!
Cattle

Rain and Restockers return

A short selling week saw yardings down significantly, all cattle indicators had a lift in prices on the back of tighter supply. An increase in

Read More »
Cattle in feedlot
Cattle

Feed pens fuller yet again

Volatile market conditions for cattle didn’t scare the lot feeding sector into submission last year with yet more growth recorded for the final quarter. The

Read More »

Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?

Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks

Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published

Commodity conversations podcast cover image, a illustration of a sheep standing on a cow's back with grain either side
Listen to the podcast

Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.

Photo of a farmer surrounded by Merino sheep in dusty yards
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock

In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making. 

Image of harvested grain pouring into a chaser bin
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE

We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.