Nutrien Ag Solutions sheep farm.

Sheep and lamb prices historically tend to trend higher at this time of year, but the market headed in the opposite direction this week. Of course, on average prices remain elevated, as does lamb supply, but both were in the red week-on-week. Sheep supply too continued to tighten, with mutton bucking the trend and lifting, sitting at its highest point for this particular week of the year.

NSW dominated the mutton market, with four of the top five yardings, with the other one being Katanning, WA, and it averaged above the national price at 805¢/kg. The National Mutton Indicator rose 14¢/kg for the week to reach 790¢/kg, or an average of $210/head. Merinos made up a vast majority of the NMI eligible sheep and operated at a 5/ckg premium to the indicator, while stock in the 18-24kg range were in the highest demand, averaging 25¢/kg more. At its current level, the NMI is 53% higher year-on-year, and 66% above the five-year-average.

Numbers wise, total sheep yardings fell by 39% both from the previous week and year-on-year. The National Livestock Reporting Service weekly sheep yarding is currently averaging just below 81,000 head, which is 29% less than the same time last year. Lamb numbers were down 10% from last week, and 24% lower than the same week in 2025, but on average for the year-to-date are only trending 9% lower than last year.

Lamb throughput fell across all the indicators, but heavy and trade lambs had the biggest decrease in numbers. This didn’t stop the national heavy lamb price from also dropping the most week-on-week, down 43¢/kg to 1065¢/kg. It has now lost nearly 70¢/kg for the month and sits at the lowest year-on-year premium. Wagga Wagga, NSW, had 30% of the heavy lamb numbers, and the NLRS quoted all export buyers operating, but not at full capacity, selecting only shorter skinned lambs.

Trade lambs fell 20¢/kg this week to 1131¢/kg, while the Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator was only slightly higher at 1134¢/kg. Ballarat, Vic, and Wagga Wagga were neck and neck for throughput with the two largest yardings, but the average price was vastly different, 1168¢/kg compared to 1146¢/kg respectively. Light and medium trade lambs made up to 1230¢/kg in some cases at Ballarat, according to the NLRS.

Next week

Feeder competition seems to be the most resilient, with the physical market reports making comment of their buying presence and the extra demand for lambs that have already been on feed. Even with more rain forecast in the coming days, supply and type are likely to dictate the market more than seasonal conditions from now through to mid-winter.

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Data sources: MLA, Bloomberg, Mecardo

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!
Sheep

Winter Wonderland

Winter is here and the market has begun to track higher as rain and supply tightness combine to push the market upward after some May

Read More »

Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?

Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks

Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published

Commodity conversations podcast cover image, a illustration of a sheep standing on a cow's back with grain either side
Listen to the podcast

Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.

156A7986_LQ-oxuut6zdthc8o09e5yux8merbgc55xv1zecznd47xo (2)
MEET THE TEAM

Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape. 

SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE

We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.