We’re at the annual recess for the 2021/22 season and despite some promising signs on the final day of sales in Melbourne, most indicators were down, including the EMI which fell for the 3rd straight week.
The Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) lost 19ȼ to 1388ȼ/kg, down 3% on the same time last year. The Aussie dollar was weaker again, falling 0.39ȼ against the USD, to 0.6796 US, resulting in an 18ȼ fall for the EMI in US terms to 956ȼ/kg.
Although there were falls across the board for most indicators on the first two days of sales, by Thursday there was some renewed momentum in the market at the Melbourne sale with all indicators making solid increases (or at least didn’t fall). AWEX commented that the main buyer support was for “good style higher yielding types” with plenty of solid premiums for speciality non-mulesed types, again according to AWEX a line of 20.2 micron(NM/CM) wool sold for 1,774 cents, while specialised mulesed lots were selling at 1430.
Although there were some big losses recorded for many wool types, the finer indicators in Melbourne finished the week higher than last, with the 16.5 & 17MPG lifting 37 & 48ȼ respectively. All other indicators fell across the states, between 6 to 51 cents.
The Western Market Indicator is down 13ȼ on last week to 1473ȼ/kg.
Crossbreds dropped marginally, while cardings lifted in Melbourne but fell in the other selling centres. The cardings indicator in Melbourne crept up 3 cents on last week to 903ȼ/kg.
It was a very large offering last week, 55,210 bales were listed and plenty of them made it out the door, with a pass-in rate of 13.6%, 47,689 bales were sold, the highest amount since March 2020 and well above the 5-year average. (figure 3) Nearly all of the 10,000 +bales on offer were sold in Melbourne on Thursday, with the pass-in rate falling to 7.5%, in contrast Fremantle sold 7,310 bales out of the 9,168 on offer, with a pass-in rate of 20.3%.
This week on Mecardo Andrew Woods took a look at recent patterns in micron supply revealing some interesting trends when comparing the east coast of Australia to WA. He also took a look at the seasonal influences on wool quality and how supply can influence premiums for better ‘quality’ wool.
The week ahead….
There’s a three week break from sales now until the 8th of August as the wool market takes a breather, congratulations to everyone involved in the wool sales process from producers to wool auction facility managers & employees for making it through another season, full of surprises. Taking a quick look around the corner, the EMI has fallen post winter recess three out of the last five years ranging between 56 to 128 cents lower. In the years where it has lifted, it’s been a more modest 9 to 28 cents. (figure 4)
The Australian wool market stabilised this week, with the Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) down just 1 cent to 1,189 c/kg, despite currency swings impacting USD
The Australian wool market softened this week as a firmer Australian dollar and a sharp decline in wool quality weighed on buyer sentiment. The Eastern
The latest AWTA core test volume data shows a continued fall in Australian wool production, which is not surprising given the tough seasonal conditions across
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Late surge in Melbourne, a plus before the annual recess
The Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) lost 19ȼ to 1388ȼ/kg, down 3% on the same time last year. The Aussie dollar was weaker again, falling 0.39ȼ against the USD, to 0.6796 US, resulting in an 18ȼ fall for the EMI in US terms to 956ȼ/kg.
Although there were falls across the board for most indicators on the first two days of sales, by Thursday there was some renewed momentum in the market at the Melbourne sale with all indicators making solid increases (or at least didn’t fall). AWEX commented that the main buyer support was for “good style higher yielding types” with plenty of solid premiums for speciality non-mulesed types, again according to AWEX a line of 20.2 micron(NM/CM) wool sold for 1,774 cents, while specialised mulesed lots were selling at 1430.
Although there were some big losses recorded for many wool types, the finer indicators in Melbourne finished the week higher than last, with the 16.5 & 17MPG lifting 37 & 48ȼ respectively. All other indicators fell across the states, between 6 to 51 cents.
The Western Market Indicator is down 13ȼ on last week to 1473ȼ/kg.
Crossbreds dropped marginally, while cardings lifted in Melbourne but fell in the other selling centres. The cardings indicator in Melbourne crept up 3 cents on last week to 903ȼ/kg.
It was a very large offering last week, 55,210 bales were listed and plenty of them made it out the door, with a pass-in rate of 13.6%, 47,689 bales were sold, the highest amount since March 2020 and well above the 5-year average. (figure 3) Nearly all of the 10,000 +bales on offer were sold in Melbourne on Thursday, with the pass-in rate falling to 7.5%, in contrast Fremantle sold 7,310 bales out of the 9,168 on offer, with a pass-in rate of 20.3%.
This week on Mecardo Andrew Woods took a look at recent patterns in micron supply revealing some interesting trends when comparing the east coast of Australia to WA. He also took a look at the seasonal influences on wool quality and how supply can influence premiums for better ‘quality’ wool.
The week ahead….
There’s a three week break from sales now until the 8th of August as the wool market takes a breather, congratulations to everyone involved in the wool sales process from producers to wool auction facility managers & employees for making it through another season, full of surprises. Taking a quick look around the corner, the EMI has fallen post winter recess three out of the last five years ranging between 56 to 128 cents lower. In the years where it has lifted, it’s been a more modest 9 to 28 cents. (figure 4)
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Data sources: AWEX, Mecardo
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Volume light, demand tight, and a flat EMI
The Australian wool market stabilised this week, with the Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) down just 1 cent to 1,189 c/kg, despite currency swings impacting USD
Volumes ain’t volumes
Weekly auction volumes of wool offered are often bandied around as a measure of whether supply is set to outstrip or fall short of demand,
Wool dips as quality slips
The Australian wool market softened this week as a firmer Australian dollar and a sharp decline in wool quality weighed on buyer sentiment. The Eastern
What are wool prices doing in response to lower supply?
The latest AWTA core test volume data shows a continued fall in Australian wool production, which is not surprising given the tough seasonal conditions across
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Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
MEET THE TEAM
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
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We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.