Sheep in an Australian field in rural NSW on a foggy morning

A large reduction in yardings was not enough to completely sandbag the price falls for all of the indicators this week. Buyers took a break, with multiple saleyard reports mentioning absences in their buying fields. Quality and weight remain the scarce desired specification, with plainer and lighter pens causing erratic price spreads.

The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator gained 4% on the week prior ending the selling week at 817¢/kg. Yardings for the indicator were down 22% to 30.5k head for the week. Wagga had the largest contribution to the indicator for the week accounting for 35% of the total volume.

The National Mutton Indicator fell by 7% in value despite a large decrease of 30% in the yardings for the indicator, it finished the week at 374¢/kg. Bendigo had the second-largest contribution of volume for the indicator. Its saleyard report mentions “a lot of winter clean up lots” as producers take stock of their flock.

New season lambs are starting to make their debut at selling centres, starting to fill some pens. Demand for the new age lambs seems robust thanks to a lack of quality and weight being offered currently in the market. Prices for the new season lambs at Bendigo fetched $235/head, and Forbes was between $185 – $235/head according to their saleyard reports. In cents/kg terms this is around 900¢/kg.  

Slaughter volume for the week ending the 26th of July rose on the week before that by 8%, helped by NSW Sheep slaughter levels returning to the yearly average following two weeks at a 60% reduction. Lamb slaughter on the East Coast continues its outperformance. The last reported week of slaughter volumes was up 8% YoY and 34% on the 5-year average.

Initial yardings data from the NRLS show that both lamb and sheep yardings for the selling week were down by 25%. The tightening of supply isn’t abnormal at this time of year, as winter enters its final month and producers run out of stock to sell ahead of the influx of new season lambs. 

Next week

Slowly more and more new season lambs will hit the saleyard pens, which should help bring the buyers back to the rail and bidding. This should be supportive of price as demand outpaces supply, but once the new season is in full swing that will flip with more supply than demand.

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Data sources: MLA, Mecardo

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