Overflowing cold storage threatens slaughter

cattle field

The knock-on impact of the floods has weighed on producer confidence, with yardings in QLD and NSW plummeting last week, but there are early signs that a return to market occurred this week. The pressing problem at the moment though is a sea of beef sitting on the docks and clogging up cold storage all around Brisbane currently, as processors stop work as they wait for logistics to recover.

We’ve got a bit of catching up to do with two weeks of slaughter data being released this week by MLA (due to the impacts of the floods delaying the week prior’s figures).

For the week ending 25/02/22 national cattle slaughter levels were relatively high at 90,466 (compared to the last two years) but still well off the 5-year average by 20-30,000 head. The floods and related logistics issues took their toll however, with slaughter falling 13% last week to 77,385 head.

While the direct impact of the floods on processors has somewhat subsided, logistics problems have emerged, with stocks of chilled and frozen beef building up in ports and cold storage facilities as flow of freight out Brisbane’s main port moves at a snail’s pace. There are now reports that cold storages are filling up, and major processors are cancelling shifts as they struggle to find space to park the finished beef.

East coast yardings plummeted 36% week on week to a total of 30,305 head. The dramatic fall was driven by a huge pullback in offerings coming out of QLD, which were down 12,000 head, or 56% week on week. NSW and VIC producers also held back cattle from market, with yardings down 18% in both states. This week’s EYCI yardings lifted 21% 10,590 head though, so we can expect a rebound in supply being reflected in the data release next week.

The EYCI lifted 10¢ (1%) to 1,124¢/kg cwt. Roma store lead the way again, contributing 25% to the weekly index, at 1,169¢/kg cwt, followed by Dalby, also at 19%, and 1,138¢/kg cwt.

Over in the west, the WYCI backtracked  15¢(1%) to 1,115¢/kg cwt, again on a reasonably solid yarding of 979 head, which was up on the prior week, while the Vealer ratio in the index remained at 85%.

On the national categories, there was mostly red ink on the board, with restocker and feeder steer prices drifting south, however medium and processor steer prices posted modest gains.

Supply of restocker steers was 34% higher than the prior week, at 1,327 eligible cattle within the index, which may have weighed on prices, with yearlings at Dalby recovering from only marketing a few head last week to representing 30% of the index this week.

The US frozen cow 90CL price has slipped 2¢ (<1%) in US dollar terms, to 305¢US/lb and in Australian dollar terms, dropped  20¢ (-2%) to 919¢/kg swt, with the appreciation in the AUD a significant factor. Steiner reports that the turmoil in commodity markets has caused imported meat buyers to move to the sidelines for the time being as they reassess their strategies, making traded volumes even thinner than usual.  This brought some sellers out of the woodwork, causing prices to be trimmed slightly.

The week ahead….

We’ve seen early signals that cattle are returning to market this week, and that demand for young cattle is still solid despite the disruption that the floods have caused. All eyes are on the port of Brisbane though, and a return to normal service as without it, northern demand for finished cattle could be constrained.   

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!
Print This Post

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Click on graph to expand

Data sources: MLA, NLRS Mecardo

Make decisions with confidence- ask about our board packs, bespoke forecasting and risk management services

Have any questions or comments?

We love to hear from you!
Cattle in feedlot
Cattle

Lotfeeders making hay

The cattle lotfeeding sector has been experiencing huge growth over the last few years. The September quarter saw growth in cattle on feed (COF) numbers

Read More »
Cattle

Attention turns to lighter cattle

Rainfall means opportunity and restockers with windscreen wipers on drove an increase in lightweight steer and heifer indicators nationally. The intent of processors as economic

Read More »

Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?

Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks

Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published

Commodity conversations podcast cover image, a illustration of a sheep standing on a cow's back with grain either side
Listen to the podcast

Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.

Photo of a farmer surrounded by Merino sheep in dusty yards
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock

In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making. 

Image of harvested grain pouring into a chaser bin
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE

We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.