Eastern lamb markets continued to ease this week, with even restockers pulling back. However, It was a different story in the West where fairly widespread rain provided a boost of confidence and prices for all categories of lamb and sheep strengthened.
East Coast lamb yardings responded to the slightly weaker prices of recent times by falling 5%. Throughput in Victoria and WA held steady but all other states saw a week-on-week decline.
Lamb slaughter numbers were slightly lower, dropping 2% to see 305,154 head processed for the week ending the 26th of January.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator lost 13¢ on the week to end at 835¢/kg cwt. In WA, trade lambs picked up an extra 14¢ to sit at 710¢/kg cwt. The trade lamb discount in WA to the ESTLI is currently at 17%, which is an improvement on the 28% discount at this same time last year.
Light, Merino and Restocker lambs in WA came out on top this week, each gaining 65 to 90¢. In most eastern states these categories lost around 25 to 30¢ on the week.
Mutton markets showed strength this week, the National Mutton Indicator gained 7¢, to 638¢, but it was South Australia where demand really took off, with mutton prices gaining 42¢ to 630¢/kg cwt. The National Mutton Indicator is currently 45¢ lower than this time last year and it’s not due to higher supply.
The week ahead….
The two week rainfall forecast by the BOM is looking very wet indeed. Nearly all of the country is looking at a 50% or greater chance of receiving above median rainfall. This (if it comes to fruition), along with the weaker eastern market, will likely put a halt on any substantial increase in supply.
Standard livestock market analysis centres around supply, with shifts in demand usually gradual, and rarely to the downside. The odd ‘Black Swan’ event can see
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Red to the east, green to the west
East Coast lamb yardings responded to the slightly weaker prices of recent times by falling 5%. Throughput in Victoria and WA held steady but all other states saw a week-on-week decline.
Lamb slaughter numbers were slightly lower, dropping 2% to see 305,154 head processed for the week ending the 26th of January.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator lost 13¢ on the week to end at 835¢/kg cwt. In WA, trade lambs picked up an extra 14¢ to sit at 710¢/kg cwt. The trade lamb discount in WA to the ESTLI is currently at 17%, which is an improvement on the 28% discount at this same time last year.
Light, Merino and Restocker lambs in WA came out on top this week, each gaining 65 to 90¢. In most eastern states these categories lost around 25 to 30¢ on the week.
Mutton markets showed strength this week, the National Mutton Indicator gained 7¢, to 638¢, but it was South Australia where demand really took off, with mutton prices gaining 42¢ to 630¢/kg cwt. The National Mutton Indicator is currently 45¢ lower than this time last year and it’s not due to higher supply.
The week ahead….
The two week rainfall forecast by the BOM is looking very wet indeed. Nearly all of the country is looking at a 50% or greater chance of receiving above median rainfall. This (if it comes to fruition), along with the weaker eastern market, will likely put a halt on any substantial increase in supply.
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Data sources: MLA, NLRS, Mecardo
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Have any questions or comments?
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Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
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Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
MEET THE TEAM
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
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We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.