Rain reached patches of central and northern NSW this week but failed to find its way south. The dry spring plaguing much of Victoria and South Australia is being reflected in the variation of numbers and quality, and this week it sent processors North.
Trade lamb prices firmed in all states, with high-yielding
lambs in particular attracting attention. The Eastern States Trade Lamb
Indicator gathered a few extra cents/kg to end this week at 803¢/kg
cwt. It was noted that Victorian processors were the drivers of the market at
sales in Wagga this week. The biggest showing of new season lambs this season
to date was swept up by southern buyers, particularly chasing young lambs.
In WA, trade lamb prices have been sitting towards the
bottom end of the range since winter began. New season trade weights are still
light in numbers, with new lambs at store and feeder condition making up the
majority of the field at present.
At the heavier end of the scale, the market didn’t hold onto
its recent upward trend. The National Heavy Lamb Indicator slipped 10¢
to end the week at 810¢/kg cwt, which is still 28¢ above where it was a month
ago.
Restocker and Merino lambs also took a hit this week, losing
35¢ and 33¢ respectively on average. Greener pastures in NSW and more
confidence in the season are continuing to see a hefty premium for store lambs
in NSW compared to Victoria and South Australia. Restocker buyers in NSW are
paying around 100¢ more for restocker-type lambs than in Victoria. We’ve run
the numbers on trading opportunities for restocker lambs and merino wethers in
recent weeks given the discounts to finished lambs, which are worth a read for
those with feed around (view
here).
Sheep numbers lifted this week, with early reports
suggesting an additional 15 thousand head were yarded at saleyards across the
country compared to last week. While no one would question that mutton values
are weak at the moment, slightly firmer prices this week in the face of added
supply is positive. The National Mutton Indicator gained 6¢ to settle at
276¢/kg cwt.
Next week
It’s usually at this point in the season when we really see lamb numbers pickup. But given the lag of new season lambs in the south, we may not see much pressure on the market in the form of supply for a little while longer. There is also a good chance of rainfall on the forecast for Victoria in the next week (although we’ve heard that before) which might keep saleyards on the quieter end of normal.
The latest ABARES outlook for livestock products has sheepmeat production dropping for the 2025–26 financial year, pushing prices higher and potentially boosting global demand even
Total sheep and lamb saleyard throughput fell this week, and so did most price indicators, as plenty of supply, proximity to holiday processor shutdowns, and
The October Sheep Producer Intentions Survey (SPIS) provides some very important information regarding the number of lambs on the ground, the type of lambs, and
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.
Southern buyers sweep up young lambs
Trade lamb prices firmed in all states, with high-yielding lambs in particular attracting attention. The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator gathered a few extra cents/kg to end this week at 803¢/kg cwt. It was noted that Victorian processors were the drivers of the market at sales in Wagga this week. The biggest showing of new season lambs this season to date was swept up by southern buyers, particularly chasing young lambs.
In WA, trade lamb prices have been sitting towards the bottom end of the range since winter began. New season trade weights are still light in numbers, with new lambs at store and feeder condition making up the majority of the field at present.
At the heavier end of the scale, the market didn’t hold onto its recent upward trend. The National Heavy Lamb Indicator slipped 10¢ to end the week at 810¢/kg cwt, which is still 28¢ above where it was a month ago.
Restocker and Merino lambs also took a hit this week, losing 35¢ and 33¢ respectively on average. Greener pastures in NSW and more confidence in the season are continuing to see a hefty premium for store lambs in NSW compared to Victoria and South Australia. Restocker buyers in NSW are paying around 100¢ more for restocker-type lambs than in Victoria. We’ve run the numbers on trading opportunities for restocker lambs and merino wethers in recent weeks given the discounts to finished lambs, which are worth a read for those with feed around (view here).
Sheep numbers lifted this week, with early reports suggesting an additional 15 thousand head were yarded at saleyards across the country compared to last week. While no one would question that mutton values are weak at the moment, slightly firmer prices this week in the face of added supply is positive. The National Mutton Indicator gained 6¢ to settle at 276¢/kg cwt.
Next week
It’s usually at this point in the season when we really see lamb numbers pickup. But given the lag of new season lambs in the south, we may not see much pressure on the market in the form of supply for a little while longer. There is also a good chance of rainfall on the forecast for Victoria in the next week (although we’ve heard that before) which might keep saleyards on the quieter end of normal.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: MLA, Mecardo
Categories
Have any questions or comments?
Production down, but values still to rise
The latest ABARES outlook for livestock products has sheepmeat production dropping for the 2025–26 financial year, pushing prices higher and potentially boosting global demand even
Mutton market maintains momentum
Total sheep and lamb saleyard throughput fell this week, and so did most price indicators, as plenty of supply, proximity to holiday processor shutdowns, and
Survey marking numbers counter high slaughter rates
The October Sheep Producer Intentions Survey (SPIS) provides some very important information regarding the number of lambs on the ground, the type of lambs, and
Lighter lambs dominate supply as prices decline
Supply crept higher this week to 392k head for lamb and sheep through to the yards, and prices retracted as harvest in the south and
Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?
Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
MEET THE TEAM
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.