Another relatively subdued week for prices considering more cattle were on the move in the NSW and Queensland. Larger downside risk is still looming though, with US demand weakening and export prices continuing to soften.
A big lift in yardings on the east coast saw a total of 56,414 cattle yarded for the week ending the 3rd of July. All states contributed to the 22% increase, but both NSW and Queensland really ramped up the numbers, with little rain hitting the ground there leading up to July. The total number of cattle yarded was actually above the five-year average seasonal level, for the first time since April (Figure 1).
The Eastern Young Cattle Indicator (EYCI) eased 13¢ or 2% on the week to finish at 751¢/kg cwt. Restockers demonstrated more enthusiasm in Queensland and have continued to support the market.
Heavy Steers were slightly higher in NSW and QLD, but things have certainly take a negative turn in Victoria. The Heavy Steer Indicator in Victoria lost 32¢ to close at 368¢/kg. It was Restockers that really pulled back the reins in Victoria, perhaps concerns around border movements playing into effect. Restocker steers in Vic were down 64¢ on the week prior.
This week on Mecardo we looked at how our export markets fared in June (view here). While demand from some of our key partners remained robust, it’s a different story in the US. The benchmark price for Australian beef into the US – the 90CL frozen cow price slide lower again, down 2% to 694¢/kg.
Next week
Some precipitation is on the way for inland of the eastern coast in the next 8 days, with the map showing the 50% chance rain outlook by the Bureau of Meterology. The longer term forecast is still looking positive for much of the country, so we’re unlikely to see supply stay near the levels of last week.
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.
Supply up in the North
Next week
Some precipitation is on the way for inland of the eastern coast in the next 8 days, with the map showing the 50% chance rain outlook by the Bureau of Meterology. The longer term forecast is still looking positive for much of the country, so we’re unlikely to see supply stay near the levels of last week.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: MLA, NLRS, BOM, Mecardo
Categories
Export support for Aussie cow price
Our favourite beef export price gauge has maintained its record run so far this year, driven by less lean beef supply in the US and
Buyers back bidding
Values lifted this week on the back of tighter supply, compounded by increased demand from buyers. Rain on the east coast, with more forecast for
January export lull impacts year-on-year gains.
After a record year of beef exports in 2024, volumes have kicked off 2025 in a similar vein. Beef exports are traditionally lower in January,
Grassroot gains slow the slide
The toll of supply continues to weigh on cattle values at auctions across the country. While conditions may be good in much of the northeast,
Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?
Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
MEET THE TEAM
Our team of market analysts are recognised as leaders in Australian Ag market analysis, providing invaluable insights to help you navigate the ever-changing commodity landscape.
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.