Only a few weeks in and it’s been a busy January. Strong prices have got the saleyards pumping again, but processors have been a little slower to get back to speed. The decent show in the yards wasn’t enough to hold lighter lamb prices though this week.
We took a detailed look at supply in January earlier this week (view here) but the crux of the analysis is that east coast lamb slaughter is at a nine-year low, and the fall can be put down to lower production in Victoria.
Last week, east coast lamb slaughter was 12% lower than the same time last year. For sheep, there’s been little change to the slaughter trend, with the number of head processed still sitting around 43% lower than the same time last year.
It seems as though last week made up for the small number of lambs that presented in yards the week earlier. There was a 72% lift in lamb yardings to see 227,297 head presented, which was actually slightly above the five-year seasonal average for the week.
East coast sheep yardings lifted significantly, but numbers are still tracking well below average.
Restockers who have been pushing up the lamb market appeared to have enough on offer this week, and didn’t have to bid as fiercely for stock. The National Restocker Lamb Indicator lost 34¢ to end at 911¢/kg cwt. Light lambs came off with the largest loss, ending the week 51¢ lower.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator managed to hold reasonably still with just a 3¢ drop to 825¢/kg cwt, which is still 6% higher than the same time last year. In the West the Western Australian Trade Lamb Indicator gained 18¢ to sit at 730¢/kg. Across all categories of lamb and mutton prices in the west are sitting 100-140¢ higher than they were a year ago.
The price of Mutton returned to its year ago level after a 26¢ fall. The National Mutton Indicator is currently sitting at 577¢/kg cwt.
The week ahead….
The public holiday next week (and extra long weekend for many) usually causes a bit of volatility in the numbers. After that, we wouldn’t be surprised to see lamb prices ease back, as demand weakens post the Australia Day peak.
In mid-2022 Mecardo looked at the international supply of sheep meat (albeit from a limited number of countries) showing how lower supply had positively correlated
A short week, and closed saleyards on Thursday has culminated in some relief on the supply front as combined lamb and sheep yardings nationally dropped
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In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
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Get them light, hold them tight
We took a detailed look at supply in January earlier this week (view here) but the crux of the analysis is that east coast lamb slaughter is at a nine-year low, and the fall can be put down to lower production in Victoria.
Last week, east coast lamb slaughter was 12% lower than the same time last year. For sheep, there’s been little change to the slaughter trend, with the number of head processed still sitting around 43% lower than the same time last year.
It seems as though last week made up for the small number of lambs that presented in yards the week earlier. There was a 72% lift in lamb yardings to see 227,297 head presented, which was actually slightly above the five-year seasonal average for the week.
East coast sheep yardings lifted significantly, but numbers are still tracking well below average.
Restockers who have been pushing up the lamb market appeared to have enough on offer this week, and didn’t have to bid as fiercely for stock. The National Restocker Lamb Indicator lost 34¢ to end at 911¢/kg cwt. Light lambs came off with the largest loss, ending the week 51¢ lower.
The Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator managed to hold reasonably still with just a 3¢ drop to 825¢/kg cwt, which is still 6% higher than the same time last year. In the West the Western Australian Trade Lamb Indicator gained 18¢ to sit at 730¢/kg. Across all categories of lamb and mutton prices in the west are sitting 100-140¢ higher than they were a year ago.
The price of Mutton returned to its year ago level after a 26¢ fall. The National Mutton Indicator is currently sitting at 577¢/kg cwt.
The week ahead….
The public holiday next week (and extra long weekend for many) usually causes a bit of volatility in the numbers. After that, we wouldn’t be surprised to see lamb prices ease back, as demand weakens post the Australia Day peak.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: MLA, Mecardo
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Have any questions or comments?
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Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock
In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
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We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.