Sydney and Fremantle markets made up for lost time with big improvements across both the broad and merino fleece categories this week. The lower Aussie dollar spurned strong bidding, and sellers sensing they might be on the best wave of the set were keen to take advantage as the national pass-in rate reached a seasonal low of 3.4%.
The Aussie dollar depreciation this week comes as the global
economy reacts to concerns about conflict and in particular the most recent US
CPI data put doubts on the US’s ability to enact several rate cuts this year.
This saw Australian wool become the slightest bit more affordable for the
export market as the EMI in USD lost 1¢ to 743 US ¢/kg.
While the economic news out of the US has been a dampener
for the economy overall, the wool market this week has been a welcome
distraction. Double-digit improvements occurred in all categories this
week. In Sydney, 18MPG rose 29¢ to 1,539¢/kg
and 20MPG improved 32¢ to 1,362¢/kg. The pass-in rate in Sydney was just 1.5%
as sellers were more than willing to meet buyers in a dearer market.
In Melbourne, the finer microns performed best. 16.5MPG
improved 48¢ to 1,828¢/kg and 21MPG improved 16¢ to 1,322¢/kg. The dearer trend
extended to the crossbred section of the offering as 28MPG improved 10¢ to
362¢/kg and 30 MPG jumped 13¢ to 335¢/kg.
The best results
were out west, with over 9000 bales sold and the Western Market
Indicator (WMI) improving 3% week on
week. This was driven by 50¢ and greater improvement for 18-19 MPG’s, as the
18-19 MPG’s all improved more than 50¢ each. 18MPG gained 51¢ to 1,550¢/kg and 21 MPG
jumped 36¢ to 1,332¢/kg.
This week Andrew
Woods provided an update on RWS premiums, (Read more here). It’s
not a simple story of a standard premium to be added to the base price of a lot,
in fact, the variation in the price effect for RWS accreditation is quite
wide. Basically, the median premiums
have been between 20 and 45 cents per clean kg across the micron range this
season, with significant variation around this level.
Next week
Next week’s offering is estimated at 44K bales with sales in all three centres on Tuesday and Wednesday only.
Low wool prices, along with dry seasonal conditions, lead to poor sentiment. Given the current low wool prices (and apparel fibre prices generally) the question
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In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
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Exchange rate pain is wool markets gain
The Aussie dollar depreciation this week comes as the global economy reacts to concerns about conflict and in particular the most recent US CPI data put doubts on the US’s ability to enact several rate cuts this year. This saw Australian wool become the slightest bit more affordable for the export market as the EMI in USD lost 1¢ to 743 US ¢/kg.
While the economic news out of the US has been a dampener for the economy overall, the wool market this week has been a welcome distraction. Double-digit improvements occurred in all categories this week. In Sydney, 18MPG rose 29¢ to 1,539¢/kg and 20MPG improved 32¢ to 1,362¢/kg. The pass-in rate in Sydney was just 1.5% as sellers were more than willing to meet buyers in a dearer market.
In Melbourne, the finer microns performed best. 16.5MPG improved 48¢ to 1,828¢/kg and 21MPG improved 16¢ to 1,322¢/kg. The dearer trend extended to the crossbred section of the offering as 28MPG improved 10¢ to 362¢/kg and 30 MPG jumped 13¢ to 335¢/kg.
The best results were out west, with over 9000 bales sold and the Western Market Indicator (WMI) improving 3% week on week. This was driven by 50¢ and greater improvement for 18-19 MPG’s, as the 18-19 MPG’s all improved more than 50¢ each. 18MPG gained 51¢ to 1,550¢/kg and 21 MPG jumped 36¢ to 1,332¢/kg.
This week Andrew Woods provided an update on RWS premiums, (Read more here). It’s not a simple story of a standard premium to be added to the base price of a lot, in fact, the variation in the price effect for RWS accreditation is quite wide. Basically, the median premiums have been between 20 and 45 cents per clean kg across the micron range this season, with significant variation around this level.
Next week
Next week’s offering is estimated at 44K bales with sales in all three centres on Tuesday and Wednesday only.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: AWEX, Nutrien Ag Solutions,Refinitiv, Mecardo
Categories
Have any questions or comments?
Optimism a plenty
As reported last week, it felt like the wool market was stirring on the back of positive Chinese economic stimulus. This week it posted the
Supply and price for broad Merino
Low wool prices, along with dry seasonal conditions, lead to poor sentiment. Given the current low wool prices (and apparel fibre prices generally) the question
Wool market dragon is stirring
When the cat is away the mice will play. Good news for the Chinese property market before China’s public holiday break has boosted the confidence
Argentine Wool Clip
With full season data available for the Argentine wool clip, it is time to review the wool production of this member of the Southern Hemisphere
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Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock
In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
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We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.