As we mentioned last week, rising slaughter rates are positive, in that processors are doing what they can to lift in response to the rising supply. With many processors now booked until the new year, any increase in capacity is good news. Cattle slaughter lifted 1% last week compared to the week prior, hitting a new high for the year of 132,421 nationally. Over the last four weeks, total slaughter was 9% higher than five-year average levels, but 17% below the same period in 2019.
Prices for all finished trade cattle saw a significant uptick in competition at Wagga saleyard as noted by MLA reports. Processor cow prices also improved marginally this week, up 3¢ to 158¢/kg lwt nationally.
Young cattle prices have tracked sideways (more or less) for the month of October, trading in a 350-370¢ range. There was an uptick this week with the Eastern Young Cattle Indicator (EYCI) gaining 10¢ to move back into the middle of the range at 359¢/kg cwt. It was restocker buyers that drove the improvement, spending on average 27¢ more for young cattle this week than last to see the average price at 361¢/kg cwt. This is now back in line with feeder values. Processor types also improved, up 10¢ on the week to 348¢/kg cwt.
Both Dalby and Roma store sales noted cattle were drawn from far Western Queensland as well as the local area and some numbers out of NSW. Although cattle numbers were back in both these centres this week and many are noting QLD supply is tightening slightly, buyers clearly have confidence that they have enough in the pipeline.
In the west, young cattle prices are again testing the bottom thanks to supply of new season weaners lifting throughput. The Western Young Cattle Indicator (WYCI) was down 22¢ on the week to 444¢/kg cwt. Cow prices were also down 14¢ on the week to 126¢/kg lwt in WA.
Cattle in a holding pattern
Next week
The forecast for the next fortnight is showing some rain for coastal NSW and southern QLD. Changes to the long-range forecast are also more cause for optimism. Most models have now scaled back their predictions for the extremely dry December to February period. While there is still risk on the dry side, it’s not as extreme as originally considered.
Have any questions or comments?
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Click on graph to expand
Data sources: MLA, Mecardo
Categories
Have any questions or comments?
Onwards and upwards after price push?
Predicting what the cattle market has in store for 2024 is a much more positive experience than it would have been a month ago. But
Queensland buyers boost market further
While the old adage “It doesn’t rain grass” comes to mind this week, especially given we have now hit the first day of summer. However,
Herd tracking sideways despite slaughter growth
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) quarterly ‘Livestock Products’ report was released recently. The ABS numbers give the official numbers of cattle slaughtered and beef
Grass is greener?
Large amounts of rain across the East coast saw producers opting to hold onto cattle as feed concerns eased. This had a positive impact on
Want market insights delivered straight to your inbox?
Sign up to the mailing list to get regular updates to new analysis and market outlooks
Independent analysis and outlook for wool, livestock and grain markets delivered to you as it’s published
Listen to the podcast
Join the Mecardo team for the Commodity Conversations podcast, where we provide short weekly market recaps and longer conversations with guests to discuss the drivers and trends in livestock, grain and fibre markets.
Research: Analysis of the Australian sheep flock
In this report for LiveCorp and MLA, we analysed the historical trends in the demographics of the Australian sheep flock, examining domestic factors that influence farm-level enterprise decision making.
SERVICES AND CAPABILITIES STATEMENT BROCHURE
We don’t just bring you the most up to date market insights. Find out more about Mecardo’s services including risk management advisory, modelling, benchmarking, research & consultancy.